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Unmanned Aerial Vehicles for Defense and Security: Technology & Markets Forecast - 2013-2021

Companies mentioned in this article: ReportLinker

NEW YORK, Feb. 19, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles for Defense and Security: Technology & Markets Forecast - 2013-2021
http://www.reportlinker.com/p02008070/Unmanned-Aerial-Vehicles-for-Defense-and-Security-Technology--Markets-Forecast---2013-2021.html#utm_source=prnewswire&utm_medium=pr&utm_campaign=Aerospace_and_Defense

Over the next five years, NATO nations (especially the US) will considerably reduce their investment in Defense and Security Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) while the non-NATO world will move into those military and police UAVs in a relatively big way.This is but one of the crucial conclusions reached by the team that researched and composed MiG's new forecast.The US DoD is changing its focus from Counter Insurgency to a more traditional conflict against a near-peer. That move will reduce the need for expensive UAVs, but will increase the need for fast, stealthy, survivable UAVs.This new forecast provides a triple-scenario analysis, examining the global evolutionary paths of Defense and Security UAVs over three possible futures - displayed by regions, system types and technologies. This unique research effort also presents multiple business opportunities, logical operating concepts and background data on imaging and radio payload coverage. Together, those features equip developers with a clear understanding of evolving markets, buyers with technical insights and sellers with insights into buyer's needs.And the situation is forecasted to become even more interesting during the 2017 thorough 2021 period.

This forecast covers the most active, most lucrative Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) markets where governments purchase unmanned aircraft for national defense and homeland security. Today, North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) nations (including the US) fly most of the world's UAVs, with their immediate focus on combat operations in Afghanistan. Research and development certainly includes sophisticated stealth designs but actual operations are almost exclusively conventional aircraft flying against insurgents. This is small unit warfare flown by unmanned aircraft based on sailplane and rotary wing aerodynamics in skies guaranteed safe through air supremacy. Future operations may be more of the same.

On the other hand, future operations may be flown against integrated air defenses and significant cyber capabilities. It appears the US lost its sophisticated operational stealth UAV to an Iranian cyber-attack; far worse than if it had been shot down. Market Info Group (MiG) develops multiple scenarios to provide forecasts that account for such uncertainty. Recent counter-insurgency operations, and tomorrow's stealth fight, represent most of the world's UAV market activity, for now. Homeland security represents most of the remainder, for now.

1. Introduction 41

1.1. Scope 41
1.2. Basic Scenario Assumptions 42
1.2.1. Why Scenarios? 42
1.2.2. Scenario I: NATO Withdraws from Afghanistan 42
1.2.3. Scenario II - US Eliminates UAV Export Restrictions 43
1.2.4. Scenario III: New Major Combat Operations for NATO Forces 44
1.2.5. Scenario Notes 45
1.3. Methodology 46
1.4. Who is This Report For? 47
1.4.1. How Vendors, Service Providers & Business Developers Should Use this Report 49
1.4.2. How Defense and Security Professionals Should Use this Report .. 49
1.4.3. How Policy Makers, Budget Planners and Political Leaders Should Use this Report 51
1.5. Opportunity Alerts 51
1.6. MiG's Added Value 51
1.7. Language, Disclaimer and Further Information 52
1.8. How to Extract High Quality Graphics 52

2. Executive Summary 53

2.1. What are UAVs for Defense and Security? 53
2.2. Major Findings 53
2.2.1. Emerging Markets Increasingly Important 53
2.2.2. Customers Like India and Brazil Insist on Cooperative Manufacturing .. 53
2.2.3. Cheerleading verses Budget Actions 53
2.2.4. Serious Confusion in American Budgets 56
2.2.5. Mature Technology and Markets 57
2.2.6. UAV Capabilities are being Oversold (Hype) 58
2.2.7. Sophisticated UAVs not Cheaper, Crash More, than Manned Capabilities 60
2.2.8. American UAV Planning not based on Analysis 61
2.2.9. American Defense UAV Market Does Not Yet Reflect Strategy 62
2.3. Major Conclusions 63
2.3.1. Stagnant Global Market: NATO Down, Rest of World Up 63
2.3.2. More Market Competition 64
2.3.3. UAV Proponents Don't Know What They Don't Know 65
2.3.4. Real Money is in the Big UAVs 66
2.3.5. We'll Never Know how many UAVs are Out There 68
2.3.6. US Military UAV Plans 68
2.3.7. US Military Trapped in Cultural Bias 69
2.3.8. Next Big Profits are in Next Generation NATO UAVs 71
2.3.9. Universal Domestic Production 72
2.4. Important Tables and Graphs 74
2.4.1. About the Numbers 74

3. Defense UAV Industry - Current Technologies 90

3.1. Stratospheric UAVs 93
3.1.1. Opportunity Alert 95
3.2. Jet Stream UAVs 97 3.3. High Altitude UAVs 98
3.4. Medium Altitude UAVs 99
3.5. Low Altitude UAVs 99
3.6. Micro UAVs 100
3.7. Nano UAVs 100
3.8. Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles 102
3.8.1. British UCAV 104
3.8.2. Captured American Stealth UAV 105
3.8.3. Chinese UCAV 105
3.8.4. Opportunity Alert 106
3.9. Aerostats 106
3.10.Rotary Wing & Transport UAVs 109
3.10.1. Helicopter UAVs 110
3.10.2. Armed UAV Helicopters 112
3.10.3. Non-Traditional Rotary Wing UAVs 112
3.11.Optionally Manned Aircraft 115
3.12. Electric Fuel Cells 117
3.12.1. Opportunity Alert 117

4. Current Markets 118

4.1. Expensive UAV Inventories 118
4.2. Europe 119
4.3. India 120
4.3.1. Opportunity Alert 121
4.4. Israel 122
4.4.1. Israeli Advantages 122
4.5. Russia and China 124
4.5.1. Opportunity Alert 126
4.6. United States 127
4.6.1. Opportunity Alert 127

5. Market Drivers and Inhibitors 128

5.1. Market Drivers 128
5.1.1. Armed UAV Successes 128
5.1.2. Opportunity Alert 129
5.1.3. Technology Transfer 129
5.1.4. National Ego 129
5.1.5. Aging Manned Aircraft 130
5.1.6. Threats 130
5.1.7. Operational Flexibility 130
5.2. Market Inhibitors 131
5.2.1. Technology Transfer 131
5.2.2. Sanctions 131
5.2.3. Economic Reality 131
5.2.4. Disappointed Customers 132

6. Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 133

6.1. Scenario I - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 134
6.1.1. US - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 138
6.1.1.1.US - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 141
6.1.1.2.US - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 . 143
6.1.2. East Asia & Oceania - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 145
6.1.2.1. East Asia and Oceania - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021.. 148
6.1.2.2. East Asia and Oceania - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 150
6.1.3. Europe - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 152
6.1.3.1. Europe - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 155
6.1.3.2. Europe - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 157
6.1.4. Near East - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 159
6.1.4.1. Near East - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 162
6.1.4.2. Near East - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 164

6.1.5. South America - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 166
6.1.5.1. South America - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 169
6.1.5.2. South America - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 171
6.1.6. Central Asia - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 173
6.1.6.1. Central Asia - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 176
6.1.6.2. Central Asia - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 178
6.1.7. North America - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 180
6.1.7.1. North America - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 183
6.1.7.2. North America - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 185
6.1.8. Africa - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 187
6.1.8.1. Africa - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 190
6.1.8.2. Africa - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 192
6.2. Scenario II - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 194

6.2.1. US - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 197
6.2.1.1.US - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 200
6.2.1.2.US - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 . 202
6.2.2. East Asia & Oceania - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 204
6.2.2.1. East Asia and Oceania - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021.. 207
6.2.2.2. East Asia and Oceania - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 209
6.2.3. Europe - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 211
6.2.3.1. Europe - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 214
6.2.3.2. Europe - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 216
6.2.4. Near East - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 218
6.2.4.1. Near East - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 221
6.2.4.2. Near East - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 223
6.2.5. South America - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 225
6.2.5.1. South America - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 228
6.2.5.2. South America - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 230

6.2.6. Central Asia - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 232
6.2.6.1. Central Asia - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 235
6.2.6.2. Central Asia - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 237
6.2.7. North America - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 239
6.2.7.1. North America - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 242
6.2.7.2. North America - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 244
6.2.8. Africa - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 246
6.2.8.1. Africa - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 249
6.2.8.2. Africa - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 251
6.3. Scenario III - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 253
6.3.1. US - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 256
6.3.1.1.US - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 259
6.3.1.2.US - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 261
6.3.2. East Asia & Oceania - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 263
6.3.2.1. East Asia and Oceania - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021.. 266
6.3.2.2. East Asia and Oceania - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 268
6.3.3. Europe - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 270
6.3.3.1. Europe - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 273

6.3.3.2. Europe - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 275
6.3.4. Near East - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 277
6.3.4.1. Near East - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 280
6.3.4.2. Near East - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 282
6.3.5. South America - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 284
6.3.5.1. South America - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 287
6.3.5.2. South America - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 289
6.3.6. Central Asia - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 291
6.3.6.1. Central Asia - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 294
6.3.6.2. Central Asia - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 296
6.3.7. North America - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 298
6.3.7.1. North America - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 301
6.3.7.2. North America - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 303
6.3.8. Africa - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 305
6.3.8.1. Africa - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 308
6.3.8.2. Africa - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 310
6.4. UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison by Region - 2013-2021 312
6.4.1. US - UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 313
6.4.2. East Asia & Oceania - UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 314
6.4.3. Europe - UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 315
6.4.4. Near East - UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 316

6.4.5. South America- UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 317
6.4.6. Central Asia - UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 318
6.4.7. North America - UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 319
6.4.8. Africa- UAVs for Defense and Security Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 320

7. Global Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 321

7.1. Scenario I - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 322
7.1.1. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 325
7.1.1.1. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 328
7.1.1.2. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 330
7.1.2. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 332
7.1.2.1. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 335
7.1.2.2. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 338
7.1.3. Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 341
7.1.3.1.Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 . 344
7.1.3.2.Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 347
7.1.4. Low Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 350
7.1.5. Micro UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario I Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 353
7.2. Scenario II - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 356
7.2.1. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 359
7.2.1.1. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 362
7.2.1.2. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 364
7.2.2. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 366
7.2.2.1. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 370
7.2.2.2. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 373
7.2.3. Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 376
7.2.3.1.Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 . 379
7.2.3.2.Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 382
7.2.4. Low Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 385

7.2.5. Micro UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario II Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 388
7.3. Scenario III - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 391
7.3.1. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 394
7.3.1.1. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 397
7.3.1.2. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 399
7.3.2. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 401
7.3.2.1. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 . 405
7.3.2.2. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 408
7.3.3. Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 411
7.3.3.1.Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Procurement Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 . 414
7.3.3.2.Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 417
7.3.4. Low Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 420
7.3.5. Micro UAVs for Defense and Security - Scenario III Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021 423
7.4. UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison by System Type - 2013-2021 426
7.4.1. Jet Stream UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 427
7.4.2. High Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 428
7.4.3. Medium Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 429
7.4.4. Low Altitude UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 430
7.4.5. Micro UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison - 2013-2021 431

8. Global Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 432

8.1. Scenario I - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 432
8.2. Scenario II - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 435
8.3. Scenario III - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Procurement Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 438
8.4. UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Procurement Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison by System Type - 2013-2021 441

9. Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 442

9.1. Scenario I - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 442
9.2. Scenario II - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 445
9.3. Scenario III - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by System Type - 2013-2021 448
9.4. UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast - Scenarios I vs. II vs. III Comparison by System Type - 2013-2021 .. 451

10. Operating Concepts 452

10.1.1. Opportunity Alert 452
10.2.What is an Operating Concept? 453
10.2.1. The Danger in Having No Operating Concept 453
10.3.US Military UAV Operating Concept 454
10.3.1. Example - US Operating Concept 454
10.4.Suggested Integrated Operating Concept 457
10.4.1. Desired Capabilities 457
10.4.1.1. Imagery 457
10.4.1.2. Communication 457
10.4.1.3. Control 457
10.4.1.4. Processed Intelligence 458
10.4.1.5. Datalink Security 459
10.4.2. Practical Example 459
10.4.3. Integrated Sensors or Payloads 460
10.4.4. Integrated Communication 461
10.4.5. Integrated Operating Concept 462
10.4.6. Beyond Integration 463
10.4.7. Differences from today's operations 464
10.4.8. Opportunity Alert 465
10.4.9. American Military Service Distrust 465
10.5. The Sense and Avoid Hurdle (Civilian Airspace) 466
10.5.1. Preparing for UAV Flight in Civilian Airspace 467
10.5.1.1. Add Existing Sense and Avoid Technology 467
10.5.1.2. Swarming UAVs 468

11. Imaging and Radio Payload Coverage 469

11.1.Cost Effectiveness 469
11.1.1. Border Towers Example 469
11.1.2. UAV Costs 470
11.1.3. Opportunity Alert 471
11.2.UAV Sensor Coverage Area - Overview 471
11.3. Typical UAV Sensor Coverage Areas 471
11.3.1. Sensor Coverage Graphic Overview 472
11.3.2. Stratospheric UAV Sensor Coverage 473
11.3.3. Jet Stream UAV Sensor Coverage 474
11.3.4. High Altitude UAV Sensor Coverage 475
11.3.5. Medium Altitude UAV Sensor Coverage 476
11.3.6. Low Altitude UAV Sensor Coverage 477
11.3.7. Micro UAV Sensor Coverage 478
11.4.UAV Radio Coverage Overview 479
11.4.1. Caution 479
11.4.2. Effect of Look Up Angle 479
11.4.3. Stratospheric UAV Radio Coverage 481
11.4.4. Jet Stream UAV Radio Coverage 482
11.4.5. High Altitude UAV Radio Coverage 483
11.4.6. Medium Altitude UAV Radio Coverage 484
11.4.7. Low Altitude UAV Radio Coverage 485
11.4.8. Micro UAV Radio Coverage 486
11.5.Capability Selection - a Counter-Insurgency Example 487
11.5.1. Opportunity Alert 487
11.5.2. Threatened City Example: Kabul 487
11.5.3. Urban Insurgency Example - Sensors 488
11.5.3.1. Stratospheric UAV 488
11.5.3.2. High Altitude UAVs 488
11.5.3.3. Low Altitude UAVs 488
11.5.4. Urban Insurgency Example - Communication 488
11.5.5. UAV Selection Guide 490
11.5.6. Sample Problem 491
11.5.7. Multiple Results 491
11.5.7.1. Single UAV 491
11.6.Multiple UAVs (Infringe Border) 492
11.6.1.1. Multiple UAVs (Respect Border) 494
11.6.1.2. Multiple UAVs (Eliminate Gaps) 495
11.6.1.3. Multiple UAVs (Higher Altitude) 496
11.6.1.4. Multiple UAVs (Multiple Altitudes) 497

12. How to Sell Defense and Security UAVs 498

12.1.Understanding the Numbers 499
12.2.Range of Market Forecasts 500
12.3. US Market Dominance - Decline or Increase? 502
12.3.1. US Department of Defense UAV Forecast 503
12.4.So, How to Sell? 503
12.4.1. Adapt to Restrictions 504

13. Operation, Service and Maintenance 505

13.1.Operations and Upgrades are Important 505
13.1.1. Opportunity Alert 506
13.1.2. Sample Upgrade Contracts 507
13.1.3. Service and Maintenance Market 507
13.1.4. UAV Operations Contracts 508
13.2. Jet Stream UAVs 509
13.3. High Altitude UAVs 510
13.3.1. Opportunity Alert 512
13.4.Medium Altitude UAVs 513

List of Tables

2. Executive Summary
Table 1 - CBO Summary of UAS Budget Requests for FY 2012 by [$Millions] . 55
Table 2 - DoD UAV Inventory Projected Through 2017 by [Units] 57
Table 3 - Current and Projected American Military UAV Inventories by Unit Type by [Units] 66
Table 4 - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Value by [$Millions] - 2013-2021 75
Table 5 - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast CAGRs by Regions by [%] - 2013-2021 75
Table 6 - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Value by [$Millions] - 2013-2021 78
Table 7 - Scenario II UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast CAGRs by [%] - 2013-2021 78
Table 8 - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Value by [$Millions] - 2013-2021 81
Table 9 - Scenario III UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast CAGRs by [%] - 2013-2021 81
Table 10 - Scenario I - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Value by System Type by [$Millions] - 2013-2021 84
Table 11 - Scenario I - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast CAGRs by System Type [%] - 2013-2021 84
Table 12 - Scenario II - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Value by System Type by [$Millions] - 2013-2021 86
Table 13 - Scenario II - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast CAGRs by System Type [%] - 2013-2021 86
Table 14 - Scenario III - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Value by System Type by [$Millions] - 2013-2021 88
Table 15 - Scenario III - UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast CAGRs by System Type [%] - 2013-2021 88
3. Defense UAV Industry - Current Technologies

Table 16 - Joint UAV Group Classification (JCOE CONOPS) 91
4. Current Markets
Table 17 - Nations Flying Expensive UAVs in 2016 by [Units] 118
6. Global Market Forecast by Region - 2013-2021
Table 18 - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Value by [$Millions] - 2013-2021 134
Table 19 - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast CAGRs by Regions by [%] - 2013-2021 134
Table 20 - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Global Market Forecast Share by Region by [%] - 2013-2021 136
Table 21 - US - Scenario I UAVs for Defense and Security - Market Forecast Value by System Type by [

To order this report: Unmanned Aerial Vehicles for Defense and Security: Technology & Markets Forecast - 2013-2021
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